Bitcoin Price Analysis: Just Another Pump-Fake or Will BTC Breakout?

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Bears remain fully in control of Bitcoin price, yet somehow, the $6,000 support is holding…for now.


Bitcoin Price: 4-Hour Chart

After posting a daily high at $6,460, bitcoin price fell below the wedge formation and constant rejections at the 20-MA have kept BTC 00 in the pattern of lower lows.

Eventually, a bear flag formed and BTC continues to lose the hourly uptrend after every bull break so traders should either hold their powder or place tight stops in order to avoid being trapped by fake outs.

The drop below the ascending trendline was the $6,117 support but the overall scenario remains overwhelmingly bearish.

Granted the bears do have the ball and the 4-hour chart shows higher lows being set throughout the day and a bullish divergence on the RSI does inspire a smattering of hope. However, earlier today the 50-MA dropped below the 200-MA and all of the other short-term moving averages are crossed below the long-term MAs and BTC trades close to 2018 lows.

BTC needs to move above the daily high at $6,460 (slightly above the 23.6% Fib retracement) and the 200-MA at $6,573 which is an area that will likely provide stiff resistance.

While more downside is likely, BTC does have support at $6,180, $6,122, $6,000 and $5,900.

BTC appears to be consolidating into a tighter range but still struggles to move above the 20-MA. The bullish divergence in the RSI throws mixed signals as the Bollinger bands constrict, but low buy volume and the consistent failure by BTC to move above the daily high (red line) suggest a move to the downside.

Of course, we would love to see otherwise but the recent bearish cross of the 50-MA below the 200-MA make the possibility of such an outcome less likely.

Daily Chart

Looking Ahead

BTC 00 appears to be on a path to $6,000 unless the technical setup changes or a bullish media story can shift sentiment. One can only hope that a move below $6,000 will lure buyers and produce a nice bounce or better yet, a trend reversal but at this point, this is nothing more than wishful thinking.

A bullish divergence can be seen in the 4-hour RSI but all other indicators are bearish so try and curb your enthusiasm.

BTC needs to move above the daily high at $6,460 (slightly above the 23.6% Fib retracement) and the 200-MA at $6,573 in order to garner buyers’ interest.

[Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are not intended as investment advice. Market data is provided by BITFINEX. The charts for analysis are provided by TradingView.]

Where do you think Bitcoin price will go this weekend? Let us know in the comments below! 


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, Tradingview.com

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